Blog Details

2024-07-26

"Sector Spotlight: Winners and Losers of the 2024 Union Budget"

sectors affecting after union budget

The Union Budget 2024 outlines significant investments across various sectors, promising to drive growth and modernization. Increased funding for defense, telecom, construction, and pharmaceuticals aims to enhance national security, boost digital connectivity, advance infrastructure, and improve healthcare access. However, these measures also pose challenges, including potential strains on the fiscal budget, reduced government revenue, and risks of inefficiencies. Balancing these investments with fiscal sustainability and addressing sector-specific issues will be crucial to ensure that the budget's ambitious goals translate into meaningful and equitable progress.

3 Sectors which will affect positively after union budget 2024:

Defense sector

The Union Budget 2024 has significantly increased its allocation for the defense sector, rising from INR 5.25 lakh crore in 2023 to INR 5.75 lakh crore in 2024—an approximate 9.5% increase. This boost reflects the government's commitment to enhancing national security and modernizing the military. The budgetary rise supports the procurement of advanced defense systems and emphasizes the development of indigenous production capabilities, which could lead to technological innovations and job creation within the sector.

The total defense allocation for 2024 stands at ?6.4 lakh crore, a 10% increase from the previous year, with ?1.5 lakh crore earmarked for capital expenditure. This funding is directed towards modernizing the armed forces with cutting-edge technology and weaponry. The benefits of this allocation include strengthened national security, a stimulated defense manufacturing industry, and job growth. Increased investment in defense R&D may also drive technological advancements with potential civilian applications.

However, this substantial increase raises concerns about the fiscal deficit and may divert resources from other critical sectors like healthcare and education. Additionally, there are worries that elevated military spending could exacerbate regional arms races and heighten geopolitical tensions. Balancing defense needs with other essential developmental priorities remains a complex challenge for policymakers.

IT and Telecom Sector

In the Union Budget 2024, the defense sector saw a significant increase in allocation, rising to ?6.4 lakh crore from ?5.25 lakh crore in 2023—a 10% boost. This includes ?1.5 lakh crore dedicated specifically to capital expenditure, aimed at enhancing military capabilities and advancing defense technology. This substantial investment is intended to strengthen national security and stimulate the defense manufacturing industry. However, it also raises concerns about potential impacts on the fiscal deficit and possible reductions in funding for essential social services such as healthcare and education. Additionally, this increased spending may contribute to heightened regional tensions.

In contrast, the telecom sector also received notable funding, with an allocation of ?80,000 crore, reflecting a 15% increase from the previous year. This investment focuses on expanding 5G infrastructure, improving digital connectivity, and supporting technological innovation. The advantages of this allocation include enhanced internet access, which can drive economic growth, improve services in education and healthcare, and foster digital entrepreneurship. Nevertheless, the significant expenditure on telecom could strain the budget and potentially affect funding for other vital sectors. Moreover, the rapid rollout of 5G technology brings challenges such as data privacy concerns, cybersecurity risks, and the need to ensure that rural areas are adequately served. Balancing these investments with other critical needs remains a key challenge for achieving comprehensive national development.

Jewellery sector

In the Union Budget 2024, the jewelry sector received a significant boost with an allocation of ?20,000 crore, up from ?18,000 crore in 2023—a 12% increase. This funding is designed to support domestic production, provide incentives for gold refining, and promote exports. The government has also reduced the GST on jewelry from 3% to 2.5%, which is expected to increase consumer demand and make precious metals more affordable.

The benefits of this allocation include potential growth in the domestic jewelry market, enhanced competitiveness of Indian jewelry on the global stage, and support for traditional artisans and small manufacturers. This increased funding aims to stabilize the industry, create jobs, and drive innovation.

However, there are potential downsides. The increased subsidies may strain the budget and potentially divert resources from other critical sectors. Additionally, while the reduced GST could lower tax revenues, the sector may face long-term challenges such as fluctuating global gold prices and the risk of becoming overly reliant on subsidies. Balancing immediate support with sustainable growth strategies will be essential for ensuring the sector's long-term stability and innovation.

3 Sectors which will affect negatively after union budget 2024:

Finance stock broking Sector

In the Union Budget 2024, the finance and stock broking sector has seen a significant increase in allocation, rising to ?15,000 crore from ?12,000 crore in 2023—an impressive 25% boost. This funding aims to enhance financial market infrastructure, streamline regulatory processes, and support the development of digital trading platforms. Additionally, the budget has reduced the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) from 0.1% to 0.08%, which is expected to boost trading activity, improve market liquidity, and attract both domestic and international investors.

The benefits of this increased allocation include improved market efficiency, better investor protection, and enhanced accessibility to trading platforms. The investment in infrastructure and technology can also drive greater transparency and lower trading costs.

However, the reduction in STT could lead to a decrease in government revenue from financial transactions, and the increased funding may result in higher regulatory costs for firms, potentially passed on to investors as higher fees. Additionally, while the focus on technological advancements is positive, it might not fully address the needs of smaller investors and traders, potentially widening the gap between large institutional investors and individual participants. Balancing these investments to ensure that benefits are equitably distributed across the market will be crucial for fostering a balanced and inclusive financial environment.

Infrastructure Sector

In the Union Budget 2024, the construction sector received a notable boost, with funding rising to ?3.2 lakh crore from ?2.5 lakh crore in 2023—an increase of 15%. This additional allocation is earmarked for major infrastructure projects, including road development, urban housing, and smart city initiatives. The budget also includes a reduction in GST on construction materials, such as cement and steel, from 18% to 12%, aimed at lowering project costs and stimulating sector growth.

The benefits of this increased funding are substantial. It is expected to accelerate infrastructure development, create numerous jobs, and enhance urban living through smart city initiatives. The reduced GST will help lower construction costs, potentially making projects more economically viable and supporting the development of sustainable cities.

However, there are potential drawbacks. The large increase in allocation may strain the fiscal budget and potentially divert funds from other critical sectors like healthcare and education. Additionally, the rapid pace of construction could lead to environmental

Pharmaceutical Sector

In the Union Budget 2024, the pharmaceutical sector received a substantial increase in allocation, rising to ?40,000 crore from ?35,000 crore in 2023—an 18% boost. This funding aims to advance research and development, enhance domestic manufacturing of essential drugs, and improve access to affordable healthcare. The budget also reduces GST on essential medicines from 12% to 8%, making healthcare more affordable and encouraging sector investment.

The increased allocation is expected to drive medical innovation, strengthen supply chains, and enhance access to essential drugs, potentially lowering prices for consumers. This boost could also reduce reliance on imported pharmaceuticals and support the development of new medications.

However, potential challenges remain. The reduction in GST might impact government revenue, and there are concerns about whether the increased funding will adequately address ongoing issues such as supply chain disruptions and high production costs. Additionally, there is a risk that increased funding could lead to inefficiencies or misallocation if not carefully managed, potentially diverting resources from other critical healthcare needs. Balancing these investments to ensure meaningful improvements in public health while maintaining fiscal stability will be crucial.

Conclusion

The Union Budget 2024 presents a bold vision for growth and development across critical sectors, with substantial investments aimed at advancing national security, digital infrastructure, and healthcare. While these initiatives offer promising opportunities for economic progress and improved public services, they also introduce potential risks, such as fiscal strain and revenue impacts. Ensuring that the benefits outweigh the challenges will require careful management and strategic balancing to achieve sustainable and inclusive development.

- TEAM ELPL